NICEP is delighted to be inviting Professor David Rueda (Oxford) to deliver a talk for the Spring schedule of their seminar series, entitled ‘Demand for Redistribution and Left Parties in Industrialized Democracies: The Influence of Income and Risk on Voting’. Abstract below.
While a significant literature in political economy has recently focused on the relationship between income and risk, on the one hand, and redistribution preferences, on the other, it is unclear whether these preferences have any influence over political behaviour. In this paper we argue that redistribution preferences are indeed a most significant determinant of voting. We test our theoretical claims with data from Western Europe and the US and show that voting for redistributive parties is highly dependent on individual levels of demand for redistribution. The poor (and, to a lesser degree, those exposed to more risk) are more supportive of redistribution and, we contend, these redistribution preferences make them more likely to vote for redistributive parties. Our analysis goes beyond previous research by explicitly studying this preference mechanism in a potential-outcomes framework. We disentangle the direct and indirect effects of income and risk (as well as other factors) to obtain estimates of their effects on voting through preferences.
Date(s) - 28 Feb 2019
12:00 pm - 1:00 pm
A19, Trent Building